Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 15.229158 17.195420 19.335316 21.839728 24.693736 27.848707 31.606068
2025-02-23 11.865468 14.355697 17.270940 20.945408 25.467122 30.867249 37.831892
2025-03-02 9.564722 12.297732 15.710375 20.306230 26.366935 34.131683 44.906536
2025-03-09 7.965397 10.823361 14.608357 20.025976 27.644059 38.066927 53.565969
2025-03-16 6.727127 9.613487 13.647742 19.756321 28.874493 42.142209 63.205405
2025-03-23 5.969601 8.943532 13.316210 20.299652 31.334658 48.370451 77.186350
2025-03-30 5.209806 8.147327 12.670567 20.256561 32.891270 53.500480 90.497352
2025-04-06 4.486446 7.294522 11.803992 19.713382 33.541113 57.277636 102.324726
2025-04-13 3.925922 6.618454 11.115234 19.341005 34.395147 61.520251 115.809796
2025-04-20 3.599528 6.285619 10.946460 19.831231 36.841919 69.001898 136.880642
2025-04-27 3.333699 6.018593 10.849463 20.427860 39.577687 77.500359 161.781895
2025-05-04 3.058914 5.695674 10.602624 20.696110 41.712684 85.194627 186.690287
2025-05-11 2.721668 5.218801 10.017784 20.243133 42.384056 90.175301 207.191543
2025-05-18 2.439852 4.811995 9.513815 19.878645 43.189655 95.628211 230.185856
2025-05-25 2.203626 4.465039 9.082507 19.601177 44.145272 101.625871 256.062105
2025-06-01 2.018796 4.199509 8.783184 19.566502 45.656951 109.242131 288.082306
2025-06-08 1.850866 3.947727 8.478727 19.471933 47.014004 116.771366 321.901317
2025-06-15 1.758297 3.848041 8.494232 20.132560 50.367269 130.086420 375.735648
2025-06-22 1.631606 3.655169 8.272415 20.180477 52.161899 139.670065 421.271432
2025-06-29 1.485040 3.398012 7.866946 19.703013 52.473246 145.246078 455.996234
2025-07-06 1.363801 3.185456 7.539773 19.375725 53.138125 151.978776 496.448807
2025-07-13 1.301598 3.107766 7.532417 19.900095 56.333538 166.939853 569.437080
2025-07-20 1.248870 3.046863 7.559074 20.523609 59.952140 184.053667 655.602337